Axis of Football

Week 6 Preview

October 13, 2022 KOUROSH SAFAVI
Axis of Football
Week 6 Preview
Transcript

We are back on the axis of football. CORs FA alongside sharp ish. Thank you all for tuning again this week. Week six preview coming up for you guys. Here's the deal. We've got a couple marque matchups, the bills, visiting the Chiefs for another Tango of Mahomes versus Josh Allen and the other big one, Char. This. Dallas visiting Philadelphia for N F C E supremacy, seemingly without the services still of Dak Prescott, and you've got a whole sl sea char that are on the cusp. This is kind of a put up or shut up week. We'll talk about which of those squads are under the most pressure, but char. Let's kick it off with really the, the crown jewel of week six, and that would be again, Buffalo at Kansas City. Both coming off impressive victories here, both coming into this one at four and one both coming in respectively at first place in their division. And here it is. Same story, right? Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes. And just to give a little bit of a history lesson, right? We know that these teams played twice last year in the regular season. Buffalo went into Casey last year, took care of business, beat him pretty handily and lost in the playoffs. It was a heartbreaker, the overtime game, and now coming in again and the regular season and sharp. All I can say is I hope the same thing as last year. Follow a suit. I hope we get him one time. The regular season and another time and the post season, but when you think of this game, when you see this matchup shark, what, what comes to mind for you in terms of what excites you here? What doesn't have me excited? I mean there's so much to be excited about. You got two of the best young quarterbacks, possibly D two best young quarterbacks. You have two fantastic offenses, seemingly unstoppable. And, and what's different this year than, and then maybe last year in the past, is that both defenses are legitimate. This time, you know, you, you have Chris Jones, Kansas City, who's such an unsung hero. I mean, that man is a monster that, I mean, I don't know if people. Chris Jones is an absolute monster. And and, you know, and then obviously the Bill's defense with Ron Miller and, and, and all the, you know, all those two, probably the two best tandem safeties that I can remember in a long time. So yeah. Fantastic defenses and you know, it's, it's just, it, I'm really, really looking forward to watching that game. Yeah, man. It's gonna be, it's gonna be a good one. They come in here with the top two. Scoring offenses in the league Kansas City at 31.8 points a game. Buffalo 30.4. So someone's gotta give there. Does that mean the game's gonna be, if I'll score 30, one to 30? I don't know. But interestingly enough, sure. Bills are allowing, are scoring the second most points per game and allowing the. Points per game. 12.2 points per game on average. They're allowing that's, that is impressive stuff out of Buffalo. What do you think is the key to victory here now with Casey's defense being a little bit better? How much and how much of that last playoff game is ringing in Josh Allen's ear and, and. Can, can these guys play in Buffalo once? I mean, Jesus Louise, like every time they play, Casey's got help build advantage. Like this is just, Come on, come on. Schedule makers. It's kind of ridiculous now. Yeah. Look I, I, I think it's not really Josh Allen ringing. Josh Allens here. It's ringing, you know, PO here and Micah hides here because they were the leaders of. They were the leaders of of that defense that, you know, got moved on in what, 16 seconds? Yeah. So you know, but Micah h is, I guess, is he still on ir or is he playing, or you know, that's, I think he's, I think he's out, I think he had a successful neck surgery yesterday. But yeah, I think, I think he's gonna be out for a little while at least. Yeah. And, and then you got, look, you, you got, you got players. I mean, he's got a, he's got, I think he's got a chest injury or something like that, but that, that he's, he's not a, you know, he's not playing at full speed. So you know, that's, that, that's kind of play the factor. But I think the chief's defense has a lot more to say than than their offense because the very following week, the exact same following week the Cincinnati Bengals defense stopped them in overtime. Yeah. You know, so so it, it's so, and, and, and, and we all know that it's not like Cincinnati had this fantastic defense. They just showed up and made plays. Yeah. Right. I mean, they just, they just kept grinding, kept, kept gaming. And, and you're right. I, I agree. It's gonna be an indictment on more. I think it's gonna be more of the bills. The bills defense that should be. Getting up for this game. And the last thing I remember is, Hey, we, we had 12 seconds to close it out and go to the conference championship and we, we couldn't do it. Right. So that's that is, that is massive. Same story, right? I think one, one big thing for Buffalo, it's gonna do him a favor. You know, Tyre kill's, not in this game, but it really, we've seen talking about it has not really slowed down Kansas City's offense much. So it, it's different. But still very effective. And the difference now, too short, you're seeing Kansas City's running backs, you know, get, get more involved. Now. Buffalo, again, their defenses, we're not talking about it enough. Second. In rushing yards per game a lot, they're allowing less than 78 yards per game on average. But we've seen Kansas City man, like they, they, they've, you know, between Edwards Zaire, Isaiah Pacheco, Jerry McKinnon, they've had some good production out of those backs across the first five weeks, enough to supplement not putting all the pressure on the homes. I think again, against Buffalo, you're probably gonna want a more balanced attack. Do you? A ab Absolutely. Because, And look, when, when the chiefs were in trouble early midway through the season last year, it was because I remember I told you I had, I had an insider with the chiefs that was telling me the, is that he's just so impatient that he feels like he can go on every play. With Tyre Kill and Okay. They, they wanna get it all back. Right, Right. And and now you have, you know, a combination of Jerry McKinnon, C h once in a while you have is a Nicole Hartman that that's still there, you know, know, so, and look, and, and you got McKinnon and Iso Checo and all these guys. I mean, honestly, God, when I saw Isaiah Pacheco with that number 10 Jersey, I'm like, wait a minute. Like, you know, it. Made me do a double take. I'm like, Is that toque? You know? So keep in mind, Toque was a running back that they, that they drafted to be a, a pun returner that turned out to be such a stunt form. But I think they've done a really, really nice job. Dispersing the targets that would've gone to Tyre Kill. And the reason, you know, you talked about it, addition by subtraction. Not that they would wanna, not that they would wanna lose somebody like Tyre Kill, but it has forced Mahomes into being playing better quarterback player. Right. You know, not to just, just be a better, more patient quarterback, you know, Hit those, Hit those, hit the open, man. Hit, you know, quick going to. Quit swinging for a home run, you know, try to get those singles and doubles and stuff. So I, I think somehow it's actually made them better career. So, I mean, I, I don't know, maybe this is just a short term thing, but am I crazy for saying that? Not at all. I'm not at all. And I agree with you. It pro it has forced me homes to play more within himself to not force things. He, he's still making those, those wow plays. He still makes a couple of those Wow. Plays off platform throws every game, but he's not forcing it. And, and they're very, very, I see a lot of discipline on offense. Right. Patrick was 15 touchdowns, just two interceptions this year. Right. So it like, like it's, they're playing with him themselves. They're not forcing anything and they're balanced. The chiefs are on offense, not so much like Yeah, they're, they are, you know, 18th and rush yards per game. But they're running the ball, right? They're, they're turning around and handing it off, and guess what? They might be 18 in rushing yards, but Sure. You know, you, you look at it and they're actually in the top 10 in time of possession. Right. So you're absolutely right is that they're not focused on hitting these home runs. They're pulling a much more balanced game on the offensive side of the ball. And ironically, it's, it's almost like the bills who are this now. Big time home run hitting team. You know, you saw last week, Gabe Davis alone, 98 yard and a 65 yard touchdown you know, being the offense being as potent as it is, char their 20th and time of possession because they just, they can score so quickly. Josh Allen is a leading rusher for Buffalo, right? So it's, it's, it's almost like, I don't wanna say they flip flop, but the chief, the, the bills are much more similar what the chiefs were last year in terms of their offensive prowess so far this year. All that said, man, what are the keys to victory here? The defense that steps up and gets a big turnover. Timely, timely stop. Coaches need to like, and, and, and here's the thing. This is the game. This is the game that you might look, you and I always say take your points, kick the field goal, pun play position. This might, this might be the game where if I was coaching, I would think more about those, if it's, is it really fourth and fourth and inches? Do I, do I really wanna pun back and give it to'em? Again, I'm not gonna go for it on fourth and five. Those, those would be the times that I would think about this. It's, I, I, I think the team that, that shows up with the defense that gets it. Look, it's gonna be a game of turnovers to, for whoever wins it, whoever wins it is gonna win the turnover game or, or, or the, or, or the time he stops. And look, it's Kansas City at home and they're, and they're the underdo. I always like betting again. I always like betting home dogs. Yeah, I do. You know, because even, even if it's a tie or it's a close loss, you still win. Well, like I said earlier, last, last year I think it was actually week, week four or week five, so I think we're a week removed from that from it, but The bill stumped them in Casey last year. Oh, they got curb stumped. Absolutely. So, but look, we talk, I talked, and I alluded to this earlier too, it's every time they've played each other, it's been in Kansas City. This could be really deciding factor. If, if I think we all, we all hope Char, that this is not the last time we see these two teams face off against each other. You think about it, right? Could this be determining factor in who actually will. That playoff game potentially should they meet down the road. Right. So that's extra motivation, but as you're thinking about it, right, like the very high chance, like would you be shocked? These two teams are the top tier seats in the afc. I think we expect'em to be right. No, I, we, we both, we both picked them for No, you didn't. You picked, you picked, I'm not rubbing it in. I, I, I, I picked this to be my AFC championship game. Right. But I'm saying even from a seating standpoint, I expect them to be one and two. Right. So this game, even though it's little early in the season, could have certainly an impact there. Obviously no one's on the teams are thinking about that, but it's just, it certainly is a downstream implic. Potentially other results of this game. I, I, it's cliche, I say it's gonna come down to the quarterbacks. Why? Because as balance as Casey's been on offense, you're still going against the number two rush run defense in the league. Right. I think the Buffalo is gonna, is gonna neutralize that that run game. So it's gonna come down to the quarterbacks. Right. And I really think in lie, and then it comes down to, okay, we know that Alan and, and, and Mahomes can ball out. At that point, it becomes a matter of who's got the mo more potent weapons. And I think, look, no disrespect to Travis Kelsey, but I think when you, when you add it all up, Buffalo's got some more potent weapons and I think it's gonna be much more difficult for the chief's defense to keep pace and ultimate, ultimately, I think that will rear its head as the game progresses. So I do have Buffalo in this one. Char, who do you got ultimately? I'm, I'm gonna go with the home dog. I'm just, I'm just gonna go with the home dog. I'm talking about covering, which this is, this is not gambling. I'm, I'm talking about just the outright winner of the. Not he's gonna cover, I think the bills would, I, I think the bills are, The bills haven't given. The bills haven't given me any chance, any indication of, of, of anybody, you know, stopping or even coming close. You love to downplay Buffalo. So so, no. I, I, Well, if they win this game, hopefully they'll, they'll, they'll be for real. What do you mean? Hopefully they are for real. What are you talking about? No, I feel like you find a way. No. Yeah. We'll, we'll, we'll have to c we'll have to see. Well look. Okay. This is exactly what you were saying, stuff about it. Like what are you talking about? I, I, I simply like, I even look if I pick you to be in the AFC Championship game and I was like, I'm gonna flip a coin to see which one of'em wins. And I chose the ca Kansas City simply because you chose the bells on. We didn't wanna have the. Representative in, in the Super Bowl. What makes you think with that statement that I, that I don't believe in the bills. That's fair. I, I, I thought, I thought you were kind of downplaying some of those successful season, but No, I know. You know, they're for real. Sure. You met, so you, you're saying that you think. Bill's win chiefs cover. I'm looking at it a two and a half point spread here. So what are they gonna win by, by 1.2 points. Like, like Yeah. Well we've seen it happen. We saw it happen with the, with the, with the chiefs and the raiders, didn't we? Yeah, we did. We did. Okay. No, and honestly, the reason I would go with the home underdog is because honestly, God, I'm 50 50 right now to, to who's gonna, to, who's gonna win? So if I'm 50 50 and I'm flipping a coin, if I'm flipping a. And heads gives me 53 cents. Tails only gets me 49 cents. Obviously, I'm gonna pick, you know, I'm gonna pick the, the side that's giving me more money. So I'm, I'm probably gonna be Kansas City. So then I'll root for Kansas City because I honestly think it's a 50 50 game. And, and I might as well, I might as well take the, I think it's a plus. What? Plus something. So you get, you, you're making, you know, you're making, you're making more money. For sure. For sure. Okay, well I think we both agree and, and I wish they could flex these games, man, that, that, you know what the, I will take the under, I will take the under. It's, it's over and under 54, I will take the under really gimme, gimme the overall day. Give me the overall day. And that's what, that's what all the Vegas money is is bidding the over I'm so, so what I'll do is say Kansas City at plus one 18. I'm gonna, I'm gonna make that extra 18% on the, on my 50 50 split. I mean, we, we will do agree that it's a pre, I mean, like, would you be willing to like say, Oh, I think the bills are gonna win. No, it's, it's a 50 50 proposition, Right? Or very close to it. It is. It is. So why not take the extra 20%? Right. Sure. But on, on the, on the overt, or keep in mind the last time, time these guys played each other, The, the combined points was 78. Right. So, and, and, and, and look, and Vegas looks into that and Vegas remembers that. And that goes into analytics. And I think that the over and under might be more of a 52 points or something like that, you know, And look, Vegas is very good at, at, at getting those numbers right. Well, they're also, if you look at it, you know, the, the, the, the bills are averaging about 31 points a game. She's averaging 30, right? So if they. Hit their median, then it'll, it'll, it'll, it'll be over the Yeah, but it's not, it's not gonna be like that because it's, it's it's a zero sum game because for every, every minute that the chief's office is on the field, that Bill's office isn't, so, you know what I mean? So, and this, this is a case where it is a zero sum game. Okay. Zero sum game. Indeed. Well, We both got the bills winning. I think you've got, but I'm betting, but I'm betting Kansas City. You're betting Kansas City to cover. But ultimately what matters to to the, the fans of, of either team is, is who gets the victory, Right? Right. So, we'll see. Yeah. I'm earned for the Bills team, man. I wanna, wanna win this game. And I also wanna see him host the Chiefs, the Chiefs next time around. Oh no, I'm, I'm, I'm rooting for, I'm rooting for Kansas City baby. If, if it means, if it, because rarely do you see. In these situations, one team win both matchups. So look, if it means we gotta sacrifice, you know, a loss this week, so the bills can get the last laugh, so be it. So be it. Okay, Bill, lose this game. I'll just say bring'em on the playoff. Why do, why do you always now play the chiefs, man? What are you having against the Chiefs? Why do you always now play the chiefs? Do I, do I identify on, Oh yeah, you downplayed that. She's way more than I downplayed the bills. I don't think so. I don't think so. You know what, Give me, Gimme the Chiefs. You know, just in spite of you course, Gimme the Chiefs but man slipped it. I've got, Okay, here we go. Here we go. All right, man. It'll be a fun Monday. I know that much. In any case, let's move ahead now. I know the highlight of the week for most of NFL fandom was the game we just talked about. But for Misha, you know what it is. You know? What time it is, my man? It's Cowboys, It's Eagles. It's in Philly. Five and Oh, Philly four, one. Dallas. I'm supposed to check you. No, you are not allowed. You got off that bandwagon and you told to school you never started root for them again. Well, why can't I? I can't be excited for the game. No, you're excited as a fan. Come on. You Literally, were about to say for most people it's the building shoes. Well, for me it's cowboy time. Come on now. You're either in, Are you in or are you out? You can't, you can't be both. If, if, if, if they win this game, I'm back on baby. How? How could you not? You're band, so you're band. I'm not a, Here's the thing, it's not, it's, it's comp. Sure. It's complicated. This, this is not, you know, when you're in an decent relationship for 30 years, it's not, it's not always, There's not one simple answer, right? Like, like, yes, I've, I've, I've got silver and blue blood, Right? I do, but I want the best for this team. And I don't think it's with this coach, I really don't. So it's like, it, it, it's tearing me apart. But how can you not love the brand of football you've seen over the past month from the Cowboys? And look, man, it's, it's the Eagles, bro. I mean, I mean, Is there anyone? Cowboy fandom, despises more than the Eagles, Right? I just, I, I like what Philly's doing as a team. I like Jalen Hertz. I just don't like the fans, man. And I get cowboy fans themselves or obnoxious. I'm not saying that, but I just. I, I, I, I wanna see those fans just pissed off and upset and flooding the Philly, you know, radio shows saying how we're five and one now we're garbage. We're not going anywhere. I love their overreaction when the Cowboys beat them, and I wanna see that again. That's, that, That's really all it is. But nevertheless, hey, this is still a good game, right? Regardless of, I mean, who you like, This is a game I think people are looking forward to. Char Dak Prescott looks like he's not going to be back. You know, he talked about maybe being back for last week's game, so people thought for sure he is coming back this week. He's still not able to adequately grip the football Sohar. We got, we had rush hour four last week. Now we got rush hour five coming out Sunday night. Cooper rush back at the helm for the Dallas Cowboys and here, here, here. Here's what I'll say. Okay. I think normally. I would have a bit of nervousness some, a feeling of tension a little bit going into a game like this. I let the ear perspective, char, the cowboys in my mind are playing with house money, okay? You don't have your quarterback, okay? You're coming in playing great defense. You're on the road in their house, and guess what? You get to play'em again and your house after this, right? And they say he who laughs last laughs best. So even if they lose this game, There's no shame in going into a five in Philadelphia team, whether playing on both sides of the ball and losing that game. No shame in that. It's a measuring stick game for us. Okay. For the Cowboys, Not for us. Sorry for the Cowboys. I get, I gotta catch myself there. I know, I know. Okay. But I look at that and I say this is a team that I think is playing with house money. What do you say? Yeah, but I don't, I don't buy it for a second from you. You're so full of it. Stop hedging. Stop hedging. You're, you're ridiculous. You, you should be a freaking used car sales when you're so disingenuous when it comes to your cowboys. It's ridiculous. Well, yeah. Put the used car out. You can't, you can't seem to, to know if you're in or out. Look the, the, okay, it's a six and a half point. It's a six and half point game. That's, I would love, I would love nothing more than the Cowboys to go in there and just get bumped. Okay. And just absolutely get thump, Not because, because look, I equally hate the eagles. Why you, Why are you being a hater bro? Why you gotta be a hater like that? Because you're so disingenuous, because you freaking jumped out when they were on one and now they won four in a row. You're start slowly starting to creep back on and you, you can't do that. I'm, I'm, I'm gonna hold you to the fire. No, no way. You can't do that. You're not allowed to do this, It's, it's, It's ridiculous, but, but look, here's, here's, here's the issue with here's the issue. It's a six and a half point game. Cowboys are a plus 2 21. My betting numbers tell me to be that all day long, like betting all day long. Bet Dallas or Beth Philly be Dallas all day long. Okay. And I, and I actually might, I actually might do that because I think Jordan Mela is, is not playing for the Eagles. Right. I heard, Yeah. He was battling an injury. I'm not sure what the, what the final prognosis is, but yeah, his health was definitely, is definitely, if Jordan Myla was playing. I wanted to see because remember, remember what I told you? What, what, what I would try to do to stop Michael Parsons, By the way, I'm saying as of four minutes ago, according to NBC Philadelphia, he is practicing. So it looks like he's gonna go, he's practicing, but, all right. Well, he's not gonna be full speed though, even if, even if he probably, probably not. So, so I'll love to see a healthy Jordan Myla run right at Michael Parsons, wherever he is. I would've loved to see that. Cuz that dude is a monster. That dude is an absolute fricking monster. He's what, 360. And he like dunks the basketball and like, I mean, he can run like that dude is an absolute monster. Kuro. And I would've, I would've liked to see that. But if Jordan Mylas not playing, or he's who's, you know, He's not full. Go. I'm gonna bet the Cowboys all day because I, I gotta go with my betting numbers. My, my betting numbers tell me that that the Cowboys at plus 2 21 and six and a half. It's at home too, right? Or no, it's in Philly. No, it's in Philly. It's in Philly. It's in Philly. Okay. Well that makes a little bit of difference cause Philly's a nasty place to play in. But my, my betting number tell me to bet Philly, but this is somewhere where my. If you would've just asked me without me doing all my numbers and stuff, I would've told you, Philly's gonna crush it because you're gonna run the ball. Yeah. That, that's, that's fair to say. I mean, I think the Cowboys run defense has been decent though. But Philly's run game, it's, it's a college style often. It's just hard. It's different. It's very different. It's hard to defend. It's hard to see where the ball's going until it's too late. And they've got a really, really creative design in terms of how they run the ball. You know, With that said rushing yards against, I mean, yeah, Cowboys actually have, have not been amazing. They're 19th and league in rushing yards against per game allowed Philly's 10th. Now, you know what separates 10, 10 to 19 is not very much right. So Philly's honoring 105 yards rushing per game, Dallas Center earning, or 117. So it's, it's a 12 yard difference. It really has them, almost like, has that gap between'em. So it's not much, but. You gotta think cowboys have not been dominant against the run. They've had good spurts against the run. So I think, yeah, I think you're right. Philly. Philly probably should be able to neutralize that, that pass rush and run the ball on Dallas. Cause Dallas is with 20 s or second in the league, in in, in quarterback sacks. So I agree with you. I think Philly's run defense is gonna be a thing. The other thing that I worry about is, Dallas on offense. Here's the thing, through Cooper Rush's stretch here, these last four games, every single time, literally short, every single time the cowboys have fallen behind in a game. Cooper Rush on the next drive, the offensive Cooper Rush responded with a touchdown and never relinquish lead after that again. Right? So my point is, yes, there's been some pressure on the team early in games, and they've overcome. There really hasn't been like that real pressure where it's like, we're actually like behind and it's the second half and we've gotta climb out of it. Like, yes, it's promising that they've been able to respond to a deficit early in the game immediately with a touchdown. But that real adversely, they, they think they're probably gonna face here this week at Philly, may have not been there. And the question is, is Cooper roughly equipped to in that scenario. We've seen him compete when the pressure's not as high and look. Okay. But I just question, you know, if we get in that kind of a ball game where the offense offense is gonna have to dig the cowboys out of a hole in the second half, are they built to win that way with Cooper Rush at the helm? Well, it's be, it goes beyond Cooper Rush too. When you have a quarterback like Cooper Rush, who's basically overperforming. You really have to look at your, your offensive line to see how they're gonna, you know, how, how they're gonna prop'em up. Because here's the thing, the grade quarterbacks will make their decisions and get the ball to the right spot when they're even under pressure, or they don't have as much time. The, the, the, the quarterbacks that are just playing, you know, over the top that don't have the natural ability really rely on that offensive line. I'm telling you, your left side of your offensive line is horrible. Is it con McGovern that that left guard. Yes. Regarding, Yeah, it's, it's, but sure, the, the, the, the left tackle rookie hasn't, Has, has played well for, for, he has not been, he has not been playing well. He has, he's, he told us really well, man. He's been, he look, he, he gave up two sacks, Darren do last week. No, forget the sacks. I'm, I'm looking at, at their grades. He's, he's, he's grading at a pf 59. 59 out of, you know, out of a hundred. So your right side is doing great and McGovern is grading 36. He's basically the bottom, the bottom he's ranked 72nd out of out of out of 75 guards that have been graded. So it's, it's so your left side, and look, you got Josh. On that side. I think the person that's gonna be really key factors is whoever you guys play in the slot. I don't know if it's no brown or I don't know if they're gonna put cd, lamb in the slot. Have they putting lamb in the slot or no? Have they been putting, They put lamb, actually, Lamb and Gallup. All three of those guys, lamb, Gallup, and no brown all played. Kind of interchange. Whoever, whoever they put in the slot is gonna, is gonna, is gonna be the key factor. Because you got Darius Sleigh and you got, you know, Bradberry that they got from the Giants. Right? They got Bradberry from the Giants. Yep. Yeah. And they all those two, those two guys, those two guys that look Darius Sleigh and Avante Madox too. I'm not familiar with him. Is he another cornerback? He's a great, he's a great nickel. Although, well, they don't have'em, they don't have him listed in there. They have a, they have a guy named Josiah Scott listed at at Nickel Bank. Okay. Yeah. So anyways. The, I, I think, I think whoever, I think whoever is is the slot thes slot receiver is gonna be a key factor because look, the you have s and you have sleigh and you have bradbury. You know, s is the free safety. You have you know, you, you have that, you have, you have the outsides and, and, and the back had covered well, but your slot and your strong safety and, and your nickel and you know, tho those guys. That's for the Cowboys to have success, you're gonna, you're gonna need to utilize the middle of the field, either, whether it be polled, whether it be whoever they play at slot receiver. I think, I think that's gonna be the key because, Because Cooper Rush is not gonna have enough time to sort ball. Yeah. And, and that's where the running game's gonna have to really come in. And Zeke and Power, I don't think they're gonna, they're not gonna be able to run the ball on them. I agree. They're they're not, because here's the thing. Look, look, I, I understand that, that they that, that the Philly's offensive line has nothing to do in terms of how good the run stop team is. But think about it there, Philly's defensive line practices against that offensive line. Every single. Every single day. And I can say the same thing of, of Dallas's offensive line practices against their defensive front too. Yeah. But Dallas's defense isn't more of a smash mouth, it's more of a I'm gonna speed you, I'm gonna get to you, you know what you, you know what I mean? Okay. In terms of physic, in terms of physicality, In terms of, in terms of just smashing in their mouth, you know, that that offensive line of Philly is just ridiculous. And, and I don't think I, I honestly don't think Dallas is gonna run the, if Dallas is able to run the ball shoot. If somebody told me, You know what, Dallas is gonna have success running the ball fairly. Okay. I would, I would, you know, I, I I would confidently bet the cowboys. Look, I, I'm with you man. I think, and this is where I think not having a healthy dak is gonna hurt. At some point you need your quarterback to lift you outta those situations. And Cooper Rush is the guy who's been a game manager. I just don't, So I think what I'm saying, Char, is for the cowboys to have a shot to win the game, they almost have to like pull Philly gown into the dirt and play kind of a, just a dirty, kind, low scoring ugly brand of football. Force'em into that kind of a game. Cause if Philly's offense gets going and they get the momentum and they score early and they. It could roll, it could roll downhill very quickly. And let, let's just talk about it because Yes, while both, and I'll be real, while both these teams are coming into this game, you know four, one the Cowboys, five and one five and oh the Eagles. You look at it the Cowboys have largely leaned on the defense. They've been dominant on one side of the football. The Eagles have been dominant across the board. Right. And I think you're, you're, this is gonna be a, a case. Really kind of a, a, a single faceted team going against a team that, that, that's much more balanced right now, as in, in its current form today. Then, then the Cowboys are right. You look at Jill and Herts, AJ Brown, Devonte Smith, what a season he's having. Miles. Sanders is staying healthy. I mean, that offense has some legit weapons in their offensive line. I mean, that's hu And by the way, they had three old linemen. It was Myla, Jason, Kelsey, and I can't remember one other guy. All of them are practicing, right? So let's assume that Philly's gonna be full go. On their starting five alignment in this game they're a force on offense too, right? So let's, let's not forget that. So I, I, I think it's gonna be really a matter of Dallas having to keep his blow scoring, really pulling fully into the dirt and turning it into an ugly game that they can maybe try and muster at the end of the game somehow and rely on some kind of an error from Philly. I don't know, man. I feel like it could be a recipe for, for disaster for Dallas because they can run the ball really well. They got the great o wine present. The quarterback, if they take an early lead rush makes a couple mistakes. So what, so what do you got? So, so, so what are you calling? I'm, I think I, I, I, I pick Philly. Win the game for sure. Yeah. But we fully covered though. That's, that's the thing. I think. I unfortunately think Philly will cover, I think, I think Philly will win by a touchdown, most likely, at least by a touchdown. I do. I can see. I can see it being like a 24 17 type ball game. Maybe, maybe a 27, 17 type ball game. Something like that. Yeah. But I can also see Dallas like falling behind by 14 or 10 and coming back and scoring a late touchdown and bringing it close and like, like a, like what do they call it? A back door cover? Yeah, exactly. So I actually like Dallas plus six and a half a lot because I don't think Joel in my life, Jordan Myla is gonna be is gonna be still, I, he's not gonna crush if he's just practicing today. Well look, but yeah. True. But we'll see. Cause look, keep coupon, Mic Parson's also battling groin injury as well. So I don't know if Mic Parson is, is a hundred percent himself. That's a, that's a, that's a very good point. Yeah, that's a very good point. So, so, we'll, we'll have to see how it goes, but look, you've talked about it. Why don't they run at them? If any team's gonna do it, it's gonna be Philly and I think we'll probably see that this week. Yeah. As buying creative ways to attack running. At Michael Parsons. I just, I just, here, here's the thing. I, I just think with, with that defense and the fact that it's the inner division game six and a half is a lot. Is a lot. It's a lot. And, and, and with Jordan, my lot not being healthy, I, I think I'm gonna, I'm gonna, I'm, I'm gonna say Philly wins, but that it's gonna be a close game. Walk me through this jar. We, we can, we can both very easily. A path to Philly winning. The way Jill is playing, there's on offense, the old line, the D line, all that, the Cowboys being without Dak Prescott, you're putting Cooper Rush in a situation where you're probably gonna play from behind. Okay. Yeah. Great. We see that path. Real quick before we wrap this game up. What needs to happen for the cowboys to come and pull this there? Cause it would be an upset, right? They're foreign one. But those are also reason why they're, they're, you know favorite to lose by almost the full touchdown, Right? Or more than a full touchdown. So what needs to happen for Dallas? Mike McCarthy and what's your offensive coordinator's name? Ellen Moore Ke Moore. My boys' state guy. Yep. They, they, they need to somehow, Figure out a way through scheme to match up CD lab against that nickel the, the nickel defenders of, of the of the defense. Well put CD in a slot. Put. Well, it's beyond just putting CD in a slot. You, you need to use formations. You need to use motion. You need to do a whole bunch of stuff. Okay. You need to put your tight end at the, on the left side to just at least, because I'm telling you that the pressure's gonna come from your left side. So they need to shore up that left side. And then they need to be getting three, four, you know, three and a half yards carry, four yards of carry from, from Zeke. Okay. I mean, he's averaging just under four right now. So Yeah. If, if, if he, if he, if he does what he's been doing, averaging what he's doing, That, that would be key of like, that's, you know, combine all those. And you hope we're probably an explosive player too, from Pollard at some point throughout the Well, yeah, well, your explosive players are gonna be polled and and whoever you have in the slot. And, and, and I would, honestly, I would, I would go double slot. I would go, I would take Dalton short outs. And and, you know, put Zeek on the left side to to, to help pass pro and, and have them, have them try to cover both Pollard and Lamb and in the in, in the slot. That'd be interesting. Yeah, man, I, Yeah, I think, look, people forget Poll was a slot receiver in college. That's what it was. Drafted us. Yeah. He was a Return man and a lot receiver so he can run Ralph and he is great in the open field. Right. Yeah, I agree. It's gonna take a big play, I think. Yeah, it's. you know, they probably would've beaten the Rams last week without the the defensive touchdown. But I think it's, No, the, the Rams, The Rams are a mess right now. Crew. She don't, don't look, don't the, the Rams are not, I'm just saying I think the Cowboys probably would've beaten the Rams without, without that touchdown. I'm saying Philly, they're probably gonna need something like that, so. Right. I, I, I think they still would've beaten the Rams. I, I, I think, But maybe you could say that that was just punching the, the Cowboys came and their mouth so early that it just affected him. Yeah. My point is I don't think it was as necessary against the Rams for Victory. I think it will be against Philadelphia. Right. Make a like that for sure. Understood. All right, man. I guess we'll see what happens when we come back here Monday, but I, I'm not afraid, man. Cause like I said, we're playing with house money. We lose this game. We got'em again in, in, in our house. Okay. And that's all right. Come to Jerry World when D'S healthy. We'll, we'll see. We'll see what's up. We'll see what's up then. Okay. All good baby. We So you're back on. So, so for the record, you're back on. You're back on. No, no. You're too late. You're back on, You're back on the bandwagon. There's a mouse in my pocket. What can I say? Okay. Exactly, exactly. Sure. Let's, let's talk about Baltimore and the Giants. Right. When we saw his game on the schedule at beginning of the year. Probably wasn't a game they got anybody too excited, right? Who would've thought week six, it's gonna be the Giants coming in with the better record. Four and one New York Giants, I guess the three and two. Baltimore Ravens. The game is in the Meadowland, so they got the home field going here, and this is now the Wink Martindale revenge game. Wink Martindale, Don Martindale, former defensive coordinator of the Ravens now in the same role. As a giant with the architect of that phenomenal second half performance against Green Bay. Crossed upon last week, shutting them out effectively and cruising to victory. Now he's got his former team who better to defend Lamar Jackson than the former defensive coordinator for the Ravens Char. The Ravens are favored by five and a half in this one. How much? Like six. How much of a shot do you give the New York football Giant. Well, okay. Just to show you how legitimate of a four one team giants are at home. They're Yeah. Basically a touchdown, underdog at home to a team with a, with, with a record worse than they do. What does that tell you? Yeah. So what does that tell you? Well, at least what does that tell you? What Vegas thinks? It tells you Vegas think they're fraudulent, even though, I mean, but I, I would've said that, but can you really call them fraudulent enough? Beat the Packers? I mean, I don't, but here's the thing though. Vegas had a huge underdo against the Packers as well. Yeah. Like there's no, So say what you want. Say what you want about'em. The Giants are punching above their. Okay, no question about it. And now they're playing the Ravens team, that they're coming off a big home win against the Bengals, but they're three and two and they're, and and they've got Mr. Martindale in their building who's been coaching at Baltimore, who's seem that that's gotta give you some kind of an advantage having, having him and how to defend Lamar Jackson, Do the Giants. Have a shot here to get this victory, or is it gonna be, or is Vegas right? And it's gonna, it should be not an easy game, but a game. They're ready to come in and dominate. Dude. Of course, of course. They have a shot. It's, it's, it's the nfl, you know, Look, the Giants finally got the return on their first round draft choice Thomas, who just playing lights out, number one, number one, ranked tackle in the nfl, number one rank. Really? Because, Because, because Dmar Lawrence played him like a fiddle. Okay. And we could, So I mean, I'm telling game maybe. Yeah, he, he's playing lights out. You look, you got I, I know, I know Neil from from Alabama. Their first round pick this year was sar off slow, but he's doing pretty good in the, in the, in the running game. Yeah. And, and look and everybody's favorite you know, Qua Barky? Yeah. He's the original quad father. Exactly. So by the way, what would happen if, wouldn't it have been better last week? If the winter would've been decided by a squaw competition between Saquon and AJ di, wouldn't that have been more fun to watch? Oh, aj, I think a might be more powerful. Saquon's just more beautiful. A weighs him by like 20 pounds. Doesn. Yeah, Saal. It's like, you know, like, like you know, like somebody, somebody molded him outta Clay, man, he's just, he's very impressed, right? He's very beautiful. Yes. That's, that's for damn sure. We, we, we talk, we talked about Jimmy Ple. Say Quan's, definitely a beautiful man. So if you put, if you, if Jimmy G got traded in the Giants, like they were rumoring before, they have the most Oh my goodness. Yeah. Beautiful backfield in the league, right? Exactly. But anyways look do they have a. Absolutely. But but come on. I mean, you got, I I I think that the key to this is can the people that can effectively smart stop Lamar or slow him down are the teams that have a chance and the defensive coordinator he is, is there some familiarity with, for him and Lamar Jackson accent? That's, that's the question, right? Sure. You would think there, there, you think there has. So, I mean, you, you would think there is I think the six points at Home for the Giants is, is, is a good bet to take. That's, I mean, that's is, that's gotta be Brian Dal's pre-game speech. Does it not? Yeah. Oh, totally. Gentlemen, we're four in one, We're at home. And this other team that has two losses already is a six point. That means they're a nine point favorite. They're nine points better than us. This is, this is what they think about. Yeah. And, and you know what stands out to Misha? This, this, this is, something's gotta give in this game. Okay. Baltimore Ravens dead last in passing yards allowed per game. Giants 31st in passing yards per game. So what gives here, man, because Daniel Jones, he, he's gotten some completions. He's got down with his legs. He really has not impressed a whole lot. With his arm. So, you know, we'll have to see how, how he does. And we talk about, you know, Saquon man, no joke. A averaging five and a half yards a tote this year. I mean, that is impressive over the course of five games, or five and a half yards. That is, that is very, very good. And Ravens, you know, solved their 12 against the run, so they've been decent. But you figure Saan at some point is gonna break out. Right. And I think the Packers failed to do last week. Saquon was the only weapon the Giants had. Like, it's just, just like you gotta dedicate more resources to Saan, especially come outta the backfield. I think the Ravens will be smarter than Green Bay was. I don't know that they're, that I feel comfortable but in the Ravens to to cover, but I do feel confident this is a game. They should, they should go in and win. I do. Right? Cause because now, You're not overlooking the giants, you're not overlooking'em anymore. You could have said before the pack game, Okay, they're three in one behoove. They beat no way. No way. Now, especially a John Har coach team, they're not overlooking the giants. They're, if they lose, it's not cuz they overlook them, right? No, no, But, but look, Giants. Kind of, they, they beat Tennessee and we, we all know that Tennessee isn't what they used to be. No. They, they barely beat a Panthers team that just got their coach, you know, let go of their coach. Yep. They barely beat Chicago. Really? They're marque their, and then they lost three cowboys. Right. Their marque win was that Green Bay win and, and, and it, and it's their latest one. You can't say, Oh, that was a long time ago. If they just did. Right. So look they I, I would, I would think I would look, and the ravens, I mean, the only team that has basically slowed down the bills is the Ravens 2320 game. Yeah. And that was, that was, it was a bad weather game too, so, I mean, there's a little bit of that. Okay. That's, that's fair. That's fair. Cause I, I forgot, I forgot about that. But, but, but look, here's the thing I've always said. What, what did I tell you? I, I, I thought that that Brian Day hiring was really good because I said Daniel Jones. Is very similar to Josh Allen. Again, I'm not saying that they're the same, but remember how I always talk about much lesser version, But yeah, they're lesser version. So and, and, and, and look and, and the kids playing. Well, the kids, the kids' improving. That's all you can ask for. Right. This, I think the six points at home is, is, is, is too much. I, I, I'm betting on the pride, I'm betting on the pride factor of the giant stepping in and, and, and wanting to prove something. If they don't, if they, if they get. If, I'm not saying if they do, by the way, if 64 degrees partly cloudy, I don't think will be an issue on this one. So here, here's, here's the thing. If the giants go in there and get blown out, throw everything they've done this season away, geez. Throw everything they've done away. Geez. Okay. They, they have to reset. They, in terms of reset, meaning forget about what you had, you know what, you not, Yeah. I think, Well, how do you define law? Like, like, like, like, like, like what? 10 point laws where, where the games out. Where the games outta hand. Even in the third quarter, beginning of the third quarter. It like, like that, you know? Got it. Okay. Fair. So look, look, I'm be, I'm betting on the pride factor of professional football players of, of real men, men's men. To step in and, and, and, and I'm, and I'm, I think, I think Baltimore's gonna win another close game. They, they, they already had a, they already had a preview of this Giants offense last week, right? Or two weeks ago, right? Yep. They had, they basically had a preview of Brian Dayal two weeks ago. And with a, With a better offense. With a better offense and a better defense. And that was the game they kind of gave away because they, they went forward on fourth and goal instead of taking the game. Yeah. Which was, But, but I, because you know, I, I, you, you can argue that that's for, that's for a different debate. So, And look, and they just team. So I, I, I think Ravens are gonna win. I just think it's gonna be close, Kim. Fair enough. Okay. Yeah. I, I, I got the Ravens winning this one too, actually. You know. I, I'm actually gonna go ahead and say the RAVs are gonna cover too. They're, I, I think they're gonna beat'em by, by by, let's say seven, eight points. So I, I think they cover. Oh, okay. All right. That's good. Well, there's seven, eight points under seven, eight points. You know, it could be, Are, are you saying it's one of those things where it's like a where it's like a two point game, but then Baltimore scores are late touchdown makes it eight points. That's actually not a bad loss. Do you, Do you understand what I mean? No, I, I, I think it's gonna be clear throughout the game that the is a better team. Okay. That's, that's, that's why I think, I think, I think it's gonna be a better game. So my bed is, it's gonna be a better game than, Look, the, the Giants are the number two rushing team in the league, right? So let, let's have some respect there. Absolutely both. Very similar in terms of time possession. So, you know, the Ravens, if they can stop the run and make the giants be you know, be one dimensional and four Stan Jones a drop pack passing game, which I think they will. Which I think they will. I think, I think that's where it'll slowly start to fall off the rails for. Throughout this game, but who knows, man, I mean, who gave him a shot against Green Bay so I could be eating my words? Come come Monday. We'll have to wait and see for that one. Sure. Let's wrap this thing up. Talking about a slew teams that are just in a tough spot. Okay? You've got Patriots at Browns, both of those teams coming into that matchup at two and three. You got the the coveted AFC South rematch between Jacksonville and Indy This time. Jacksonville going down to Indy for that, going up to in other, for that game. They're two and three, Indy's two, Two and one Saints against the Browns. Can I call this the see yeah, yeah. Against the Browns? I'm sorry. Can I call No against the Bengals. Beng. I'm sorry. I was gonna say, can I call this the Andy Dalton Ball Saints Bengals? They're both two and three as well. And then of course, the Monday night matchup Broncos at the Chargers. Broncos at two and three. Chargers are at three and two, but not feeling particularly good about where they are seemingly in light of the way they won that game. Kind of lucked into it. And Keen Allen's tweet, You know what the, what, what WTF are we doing? Seem, seems there's, might be a little bit disarray what the chargers, who is under the most pressure to win this weekend jar between these, these teams that are kind of teetering. Okay, so name the teams again. You got, you got the Indianapolis, Pat Browns, Pats at Browns, both two and three. You you mean Bengals, You keep saying Browns Bengals. No, the Pat, The Pats are playing the Browns. Oh, Pats hat, sorry. Yeah. Yeah. The Patriots are playing the Browns, Jacks are playing the Colts Saints at Bengals. And then Broncos chargers. Pretty much all these teams are, are below 500 except for the charger. And the cold two are two, two and one. Right. So they're at 500 essentially. So I think, I think the coaching staff that's under the most amount of pressure is, is the Indianapolis coaching staff. Yeah. Because look, look at some point they gotta be able to be Jacksonville at That's a great point because there's already even rumblings that Jim Erse exactly disposed of his gm, Chris Ballard, and had coach Frank. During the season, they're on the hot seat. And here's the thing too, and here's what makes it even more pressure, in my opinion, for the Colts. Jacksonville's actually kind of been floundering these past couple weeks. So Jacksonville's not coming into this game, particularly confident, right? It's in Indy. Okay. And if you lose again to Jacksonville in your house, when they've been playing poorly, coming into the game, Oh. I mean, would it, would, would her say, is gonna have a freaking look? The whole controversy about cars, our head's gonna roll seriously. Are are we, Is is, is Ry gonna be the, the Matt rule of next Monday if they lose his game? Honestly. Yeah. I wouldn't be shocked. I wouldn't be shocked. So that's, so that's why I see the gonna say he is, I'm gonna say it's over. I'm gonna say it's. And it also depends how they lose. But I, I think it's, I, I, I, No, it doesn't matter. How they lose does not matter how they do. They, they, you show an incapability to beating a team. What? The last four? I think. I don't who, Frank, Frank has ever beaten Jacksonville. I think it might have beat him. Ind just not, not in Jacksonville. Is that what it is? Okay. Well, LA last year they lost at Indy, didn't they? To Jacksonville? No, they, they, they wanted home. They lost in in Jacksonville. Okay. But, but it was what kept them out of the playoffs. Right? Exactly. Exactly. Okay. So no. If, if they, even if they lose a close game, I, I, I think I, I think the, the, like the, the dude is just waiting. The dude is just waiting. Look, I, I, I call him, I call him Jerry Jones Central. So, you know, he's he's Jerry Jones of the, of the Midwest. So j jc Yeah. So look but in terms of players, who's got the most amount of pressure on him is Russell Wilson. Okay. Okay. I, I don't think any other player has more pressure on it than Russell Wilson. You might be. Because that last game they, I mean, they put up a giant turd man like that, that. That was bad with against the, with, against the cults rather. Last day, the combine that with, and that was a Thursday game. I explained the following Monday, right? This thing had 11 days to just marinate right and have to seep in there. A lot of narratives rolling on Ross. And, and now guess what, He's back in prime time again. He can't, he can't sneak under the, the early Sunday game radar. This is back in the spotlight under the Monday Night Lights is out playing him. That's even that, that's something that usually doesn't factor in. Yeah. But, but, but, okay. FF has Russell Wilson ranked 30th out of 36 gradable quarterbacks. 30th. That's, that's, that's not good. It's, it's off. I mean, and I mean, and you're, and you're paying 245 million for that, but like we said on Monday, if if heads are gonna roll, it ain't gonna be Russ. Right. I think, you know, this is No, but I think I agree with you in the sense that like so much of Denver struggles. I've been pinned on Russell Wilson's inability to rekindle his elite level of play. Did I agree with you? He's got a ton of pressure on him in this game. A ton. And it's, it's in, it's in la right? LA is not a particularly imposing place to play, but it's not, it's not at home. It's not in Denver. So, but, but honestly, I, I'm, I'm really interested in seeing what this coach for the Charger is gonna do this week to piss me off. Yeah. I can't. And it's in prime time. So he should be informed. He should be in rare form in prime. I, I really wanna see what he does this time because the, the dude is just at like, I mean, I, you know what? We've talked about it at na. I'm not, I'm not gonna repeat myself. Yeah, we wait, go there. We'll, yeah, we'll just, I'm interested to see how he does it this time. that's, Yeah. Yeah, I, I'm actually with you. I think when you look at, you know you could say, Okay the Bengals at two and three coming off of Super Bowl appearance last year at two and four. That's a tough hole to dig yourself out of. You know, Patriots, Browns, the Bell Check Bowl, right? You know, both these teams were in a similar spot. We've talked about the Browns. Can they keep the ship afloat until Shaun Watson gets back? You know, we'll see about that. But I agree with you wholeheartedly. The col as a team and Russ as a player are under the most pressure man. You gotta think Frank Re's gotta be feeling some nervous about this game, don't you? He's on a hot seat for the first time and, and last year, like, look, we were talking about him being the coach of the year at one point. We were, we were cuz of the way they, they were able to overcome that o and three start to have a shot at the playoffs. Yeah. Jonathan Taylor. Still questionable for this game. He should be good to go. I, but he missed the last game. I, I, I wonder, you know, how, how healthy is he gonna be? They have not been able to get him going. He's averaging just over two yards to carry this year. Yeah. And, and look, the other kid that replaced him, I forget what his name is he, he looked, he actually looked for, I'm not saying he's okay before people go crazy. I'm not saying he's better than Jonathan Taylor. All I'm saying is that he was not the reason. If, if their offense didn't play as good as they could have last week. So the kid, the kid look pretty good. So you did look pretty good, but yeah man. Let's, let's see what we're talking about, come next week about this game because I agree Che is gonna have a hernia if they can't handle it at home. Have an aneurysm. What are you talking about? Hernia aneurysm. A hernia stroke, All the above, man. It's, it's not gonna be pretty over there in in Indy, but in any case, man, it's always good doing this with you, buddy. I can't wait. It's gonna be a fun. And let's, let's see what we're talking about. Come Monday, it's gonna be, there's some good marque matchups and I think somebody's be talking some trash next week between the two of us, so, oh, absolutely. Absolutely. And you know, I changed my, I changed my, I really did my pick just so I could be on the opposite side of you with the, I love it. With the chiefs and, and that, and that's me hedging my butt. Now cut off your nose is by your face. All right, buddy. Until next time. All right, buddy. Take care. Yeah.