560 | Mid-Year Property Market Outlook 2025: Trends & Forecasts

With rate cuts back on the table, speculation heating up, and Darwin, Perth and Brisbane leading the charge, the mid-year property story looks very different to what many expected back in February... 🚀 

That’s why we’re back with one of our most anticipated episodes of the year: 

🔮 Our 2025 Mid-Year Property Market Outlook! 🔮  

Inside this jam-packed update, we reveal:  

• Our February calls vs what actually played out 
• The state of play in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Perth, Adelaide, Darwin, Hobart & Canberra 
• Why speculation and “pump and dump” strategies are flashing red lights 🚨 
• The upside and downside risks for investors in the second half of 2025 
• Long-term fundamentals every investor should hold onto 

This is your ultimate checkpoint for property investors, cutting through the speculation to stay ahead. 

FREE STUFF MENTIONED

• Listen to our February 2025 Property Market Outlook here 👉 535 | 2025 Property Market Outlook 
  
  
• CLOSING MONDAY, 25 AUG: PIPA Investor Sentiment Survey 2025
  Make Your Voice Count! 📊
  Australia’s biggest investor pulse check is back! The 2025 PIPA Annual Investor Sentiment Survey is now live, and we want to hear from YOU. Your insights help shape the conversation around property investing in Australia. 👉 Take the survey today and add your voice to the nation’s most powerful investor report. 
   
• Book Shoutout 📚
  Want to really set yourself up for the next decade? Grab your copy of How to Retire on $3,000 a Week and lock in the fundamentals we keep coming back to: Buy well, finance smart, and hold for the long-term. 
  👉 Get your copy now 
   
• Curious what the next 10–20 years could look like for you?  
  Speak to the professionals and paper trade your life with a tailored Property Wealth Plan through our financial advisory! 
  👉 Book in a free initial chat today (And see how to make the most of the opportunities ahead) 

LISTEN TO THE FIRST 20 EPISODES HERE >>

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Chapters

• 0:00 560 | Mid-Year Property Market Outlook 2025: Trends & Forecasts
• 1:11 AFL banter & Adelaide Oval debrief 😉
• 4:23 What we’re doing today + our supply/demand framework
• 6:31 Short-term vs long-term: macro starts (tariffs, Trump, no “black swans”)
• 8:55 Domestic lens: elections, property taxes & policy risks
• 11:26 Rates, unemployment & APRA buffer (and what changed since Feb)
• 13:31 Speculation alert: trusts, “pump-and-dump” & non-commutable regionals
• 15:48 Why speculative markets are politically unpalatable
• 17:19 Inflation back in the band; RBA patience & “wealth effect” watch
• 19:38 Consumer sentiment, time-to-buy, and investors vs owner-occupiers
• 21:31 State of the states: WA boom, Victoria debt & Melbourne’s “cheap” drawcard
• 23:01 WA still #1, Darwin still #8: voting machine vs weighing machine
• 24:29 Darwin’s economy vs property outperformance; segue to population
• 26:41 Population & migration: NSW/Sydney, Melbourne shifts, WA & QLD lead
• 29:02 Our February calls: Darwin/Brisbane/Perth; Melbourne recovery; others cooling
• 31:08 How it played out: Darwin #1, Perth #2, Brisbane #3; Sydney surprise; Canberra & Hobart
• 31:38 Price action by value tier (who’s moving each city)
• 34:00 Weekly data watch: Perth strong; Sydney solid; rising tide
• 35:47 Risks & upside: household formation, affordability, migration, under-supply, wages
• 37:55 Crystal ball: second-half outlook by city
• 40:17 Long-term fundamentals: pay off home, 2–3 quality IPs + super; commutable regionals
• 41:54 Speculation ≠ strategy; owner-occupier priority & likely regulation
• 44:17 Regulatory levers: CGT tweaks, credit access & negative-gearing caps
• 46:32 Final thoughts: positive six months ahead
• 48:35 PIPA Investor Sentiment Survey: last chance call-out
• 50:00 Close & sign-off (book + Empower links in description)